Lol, this has been an interesting debate (we don't get much opportunity to debate at uni sadly). My skepticism remains intact however and you sound like an interesting study yourself.
I personally despise over-theorising especially when it is little based in fact, but it is the curse of psychologists to have to endure it through university.

Am currently writing (literally by hand) theoretical notes (although based in fact) for a long overdue assignment (extension due to my daughter having an emergency op). My hand hurts.
Regarding the water issue, without extensive and irrefutable evidence before me, I will continue to find favour with my arguement, but then if we all ought thought the same thing, scientists wouldn't continue to probe and extend on findings through history! And then where would we be.

100 years ago they thought they knew a great deal that has since been refuted and rejected so I believe that, whether we say we have conclusive evidence that this is the way things are and they don't basically alter from this concept, our current thinking will be looked back upon as primitive and limited 50 or 100 years down the line. let's hope we're both alive long enough to see which of us is right! Although I may be a tad on the wrinkly side by then.
P.
P.S:To quote M.I.B 'Fifteen hundred years ago everybody knew the Earth was the center of the universe. Five hundred years ago, everybody knew the Earth was flat, and fifteen minutes ago, you knew that humans were alone on this planet. Imagine what you'll know tomorrow.'