I had a green ebo jaeger run accurately for many years - 15 plus. And other that were done in three. Disasters from heaters? Over the last 10 years, I had some shut off and some tanks that got cool. And one shot the tank up to 35c (set for 24) when I was testing it in a fishless set up.
Before that I would estimate one in 3 heaters caused fish deaths. Early on, it happened a lot more than now.